In China Ne Zha 2 grossed $26.46M(-60%)/$1660.54M on Monday. Passing IO2 on Wednesday. Ne Zha 2 powers the Chinese box office to a record breaking start of the year as 2025 exceeds ¥20B/$2.75B in a record 53 days beating the previous best of 90 days in 2018. Captain America 4 adds $0.52M/$11.01M.

https://preview.redd.it/mm6x6k87cqje1.png?width=654&format=png&auto=webp&s=6f7f5c22eeb62aa15b8a2c2c5248d795fb6850ef


Daily Box Office(February 17th 2024)

The market hits ¥224M/$31M which is down -68% from yesterday and down -61% from last week.

Chinese box office crossed the ¥20B/$2.8B mark yesterday in a record 53 days. The first time in history the mark was crossed in February and only the 2nd time it was crossed before April. 2018 being the other time when the mark was crossed in 90 days at the end of March.

https://i.imgur.com/66BMChq.png


Province map of the day:

Nobody doubted that Ne Zha 2 would remain in control everywhere. And it did. Its 19th clean sweep in a row.

https://imgsli.com/MzUwMjQ5

In Metropolitan cities:

Ne Zha 2 wins Beijing, Chongqing, Wuhan ,Shenzhen, Chengdu, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Nanjing, Suzhou and Hangzhou

City tiers:

In the Mood for Love into the top 3 in T1. Captain America: Brave New World returns to 3rd in T2 and T4. Creation Of The Gods II up to 3rd in T4.

Tier 1: Ne Zha 2>Detective Chinatown 1900>In the Mood for Love

Tier 2: Ne Zha 2>Detective Chinatown 1900>Captain America: Brave New World

Tier 3: Ne Zha 2>Detective Chinatown 1900>Captain America: Brave New World

Tier 4: Ne Zha 2>Detective Chinatown 1900>Creation Of The Gods II


# Movie Gross %YD %LW Screenings Admisions(Today) Total Gross Projected Total Gross
1 Ne Zha 2 $26.46M -69% -60% 226207 4.10M $1660.54M $2069M-$2085M
2 Detective Chinatown 1900 $2.55M -59% -69% 62350 0.43M $440.15M $487M-$490M
3 Captain America 4: BNW $0.52M -69% 30252 0.09M $11.01M $17M-$18M
4 Creation Of The Gods II $0.47M -38% -68% 17952 0.08M $159.63M $167M-$171M
5 In the Mood for Love $0.40M -51% 16156 0.07M $5.19M $9M-$10M
6 Boonie Bears: Future Reborn $0.25M -88% -89% 15683 0.04M $101.01M $104M-$110M
7 Legend Of The Condor Heroes $0.25M -47% -44% 7885 0.04M $88.95M $91M-$96M

*YD=Yesterday, LW=Last Week,


Pre-Sales map for tomorrow

Ne Zha 2 also completely dominates pre-sales going into the next week.

https://i.imgur.com/wGlqJDh.png


Ne Zha 2

$115-125M

Ne Zha 2 adds $26.46M on Monday as all schools are back and the market takes a hit. Its still a really good day that normaly outside of Holiday Periods you would only see in the Summer but Ne Zha 2 is managing to deliver it in February.

It crosses $1.66B and including pre-sales now pushes The Lion King out of the Worldwide Top 10. Tomorrow Jurrassic World and Ne Zha 2 is set to cross $1.7B and take the crown of highest grossing animated movie worldwide on Wednesday.

Ne Zha 2 hits the 249M admissions including pre-sales. Surpasses the total worldwide admissions of The Lion King and No Way Home leaving only the 2 Avengers movies and 2 Avatar movies infront from the modern era.

After becoming the first ever ¥6B, ¥7B,¥8B, ¥9B, ¥10B and ¥11B movie in China Ne Zha 2 has now crossed ¥12B. Given the slowdown ¥13B will have to wait till the weekend.

On the weekend early projections have it at $115-125M at this point.


Ne Zha 2 pre-sales to gross multiplier:

The multiplier thankfully does return to 4.5+ on the weekdays

Tomorrow's pre-sales are down -13% from Monday which would point towards a day around $23M which seems plausable if the multiplier holds and Maoyan and Tao are also projecting a gross around that number.

Day Pre-sales Gross Multiplier
1 ¥241.45M ¥487.53M x2.02
2 ¥139.27M ¥480.38M x3.45
3 ¥191.87M ¥619.19M x3.23
4 ¥227.86M ¥731.55M x3.21
5 ¥241.34M ¥812.75M x3.37
6 ¥236.93M ¥843.59M x3.56
7 ¥228.89M ¥866.63M x3.78
8 ¥153.25M ¥649.43M x4.24
9 ¥132.53M ¥585.75M x4.42
10 ¥125.59M ¥541.26M x4.31
11 ¥160.13M ¥619.28M x3.85
12 ¥240.94M ¥760.24M x3.15
13 ¥112.25M ¥479.79M x4.27
14 ¥110.78M ¥479.53M x4.33
15 ¥124.82M ¥531.15M x4.26
16 ¥76.04M ¥358.82M x4.72
17 ¥154.30M ¥580.02M x3.76
18 ¥259.26M ¥786.25M x3.03
19 ¥215.31M ¥613.25M x2.85
20 ¥41.32M ¥191.52M x4.64
21 ¥35.95M

Where and what is fueling Ne Zha 2's performance vs Battle At Lake Changjin, Wolf Warrior 2 and Hi, Mom:

The first and most obvious difference is that Ne Zha 2 is playing better towards women than Battle At Lake Changjin and Wolf Warrior 2 ever could. More comparable with Hi, Mom in this regard.

Ne Zha 2 also in turn plays better to kids although this can't really be shown as kids don't buy tickets. It however doesn't have the same reach with younger addults as Hi, Mom did.

Where Ne Zha 2 is absolutely crushing it is Tier 4 areas. And while this is aided by the festival as people travel home. Ne Zha 2 is crushing the records as it not only became the first ¥2B there but the first ¥3B movie and the first ¥4B movie. It alongside Hi Mom is also the only movie to break ¥1B in Tier 3 areas and it has now also broke ¥2B.

Gender Split:

Ne Zha 2 Battle At Lake Changjin Wolf Warrior 2 Hi Mom
Gender Split(M/W) 40/60 51/49 53/47 37/63

Regional Split:

Ne Zha 2 Battle At Lake Changjin Wolf Warrior 2 Hi Mom
East China ¥4.39B ¥2.21B ¥2.01B ¥1.96B
South China ¥1.67B ¥966M ¥1.04B ¥724M
North China ¥1.47B ¥598M ¥684M ¥690M
Central China ¥1.71B ¥752M ¥629M ¥741M
Southwest China ¥1.55B ¥724M ¥684M ¥655M
Northwest China ¥663M ¥281M ¥284M ¥298M
Northeast China ¥577M ¥242M ¥358M ¥341M

Tier area split:

Ne Zha 2 breaks ¥4B in Tier 2.

Ne Zha 2 Battle At Lake Changjin Wolf Warrior 2 Hi Mom
First Tier City Gross ¥1.30M ¥868M ¥1.04B ¥695M
Second Tier City Gross ¥4.02B ¥2.27B ¥2.33B ¥1.89B
Third Tier City Gross ¥2.31B ¥986M ¥931M ¥1.01B
Fourth Tier City Gross ¥4.40B ¥1.65B ¥1.39B ¥1.82B

Top Provices:

Ne Zha 2 Battle At Lake Changjin Wolf Warrior 2 Hi Mom
Top Province Guandong(¥1.27B) Guandong(¥769M) Guandong(¥862M) Guandong(¥575M)
2nd Province Jiangsu(¥1.04B) Jiangsu(¥563M) Jiangsu(¥521M) Jiangsu(¥479M)
3rd Province Shandong(¥816M ) Zhejiang(¥464M) Zhejiang(¥444M) Zhejiang(¥361M)

Top Cities:

Ne Zha 2 Battle At Lake Changjin Wolf Warrior 2 Hi Mom
Top City Beijing(¥395M) Shanghai(¥260M) Beijing(¥299M) Beijing(¥215M)
2nd City Shanghai(¥372M) Beijing(¥225M) Shanghai(¥293M) Shanghai(¥212M)
3rd City Chengdu (¥322M) Shenzhen(¥191M) Shenzhen(¥232M) Shenzhen(¥144M)

Age Split:

Ne Zha 2 Battle At Lake Changjin Wolf Warrior 2 Hi Mom
Age(Under 20) 4.7% 2.8% 1.6% 6.3%
Age(20-24) 23.1% 20.6% 23.4% 38.4%
Age(25-29) 26.6% 25.3% 32.3% 27.0%
Age(30-34) 20.9% 20.4% 21.6% 12.7%
Age(35-39) 14.1% 15.2% 11.5% 7.7%
Age(Over 40) 10.6% 15.6% 9.6% 7.9%

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.8 , Taopiaopiao: 9.7 , Douban: 8.5

Maoyan rises to 9.8. Ne Zha 2 is now the best rated movie of all time on Maoyan.

Gender Split(M-W): 40-60

Gender Rating Split: Maoyan: M(9.8)/W(9.8), Taopiaopiao: M(9.6)/W(9.7)

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $1518.75M, IMAX: $105.87, Rest: $33.50M

Language split: Mandarin: 100%

# WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE Total
Second Week $89.25M $80.33M $74.18M $84.97M $104.40M $65.90M $65.97M $1238.57M
Third Week $72.94M $49.41M $80.01M $108.55M $84.60M $26.46M / $1660.54M
%± LW -19% -38% +8% +28% -19% -60% /

Scheduled showings update for Ne Zha 2 for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 226871 $5.70M $28.40M-$31.98M
Tuesday 220656 $4.95M $23.16M-$23.71M
Wednesday 164783 $1.25M $20.40M-$21.37M

Detective Chinatown 1900

Detective Chinatown 1900 drops decently into the first fully normal weekday as it crosses $440M

DC1900 extends its gap to DC2 slightly as it now looks set to outgross is becoming the 2nd highest grossing entry in the franchise.

https://i.imgur.com/V4RqlSB.png


WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.5 , Taopiaopiao: 9.3 , Douban: 6.5

Gender Split(M-W): 41-59

Gender Rating Split: Maoyan: M(9.4)/W(9.6), Taopiaopiao: M(9.0)/W(9.5)

Age Split: Under 20: 5.6% , 20-24: 23.3% , 25-29: 24.0% , 30-34: 17.1% , 35-39: 14.8% , Over 40: 15.2%

City Tiers: T1: 12.0% , T2: 45.4% , T3: 21.0% , T4: 21.6%

Most Popular Province: Jiangsu: 13.4%

Most Popular City: Shanghai: 5.4%

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $435.07M, IMAX: $2.66M , Rest: $2.52M

Language split: Mandarin: 100%

# WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE Total
Second Week $18.75M $14.65M $11.75M $12.23M $13.41M $8.15M $7.49M $398.99M
Third Week $7.65M $5.19M $10.62M $8.92M $6.23M $2.55M / $440.15M
%± LW -59% -65% -10% -27% -54% -69% /

Scheduled showings update for Detective Chinatown 1900 for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 62448 $241k $2.48M-$2.73M
Tuesday 61672 $222k $2.34M-$2.52M
Wednesday 43697 $32k $2.16M-$2.27M

Captain America 4: Brave New World

The horror show continues for Cap 4 on Monday as it grossed only $0.52M. Worse first Monday than The Marvels($0.62M)

The Beekeeper is back to keep a watchfull eye on MCU's flops in China:

There's only 1 way for Cap 4 and its not up.

https://i.imgur.com/Z8UiZ7J.png


WoM figures:

Maoyan: , Taopiaopiao:, Douban: 5.3

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $10.41M, IMAX: $0.56M , Rest: $0.12M

# FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED THU Total
First Week $5.54M $3.28M $1.67M $0.52M / / / $11.01M

Scheduled showings update for Captain America 4 for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 31236 $53k $0.49M-$0.58M
Tuesday 27255 $37k $0.41M-$0.44M
Wednesday 19916 $6k $0.36M-$0.38M

Other stuff:

The next Holywood release should be Mickey 17 somewhere at the end of February or start of March.


Release Schedule:

A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.

Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.

Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.


February:

Flow will release on the 28th

Movie Maoyan WTS Daily Increase Taopiaopiao WTS Daily Increase M/W % Genre Release Date 3rd party media projections
The Colors Within 53k +2k 65k +3k 48/52 Animation/Fantasy 21.02 $2-8M
Dead Talents Society 17k +1k 18k +1k 35/65 Comedy/Horror 22.02 $8-11M
Flow 20k +1k 24k +1k 28/72 Animation/Fantasy 28.02 $2-3M

March:

Movie Maoyan WTS Daily Increase Taopiaopiao WTS Daily Increase M/W % Genre Release Date 3rd party media projections
Love Island 71k +2k 31k +2k 33/67 Romance/Comedy 07.03 $2-10M
Girls on Wire 44k +3k 44k +2k 23/77 Drama 08.03 $3-8M
C'e ancora domani 18k +1k 22k +2k 14/86 Drama 08.03
Liar,Liar,Love is on fire 55k +1k 4k +1k 32/68 Comedy/Romance 15.03
Mickey 17 4k +195 7k +124 45/55 Sci-fi/Comedy March